How many votes will Donald Trump receive in Pennsylvania? (Multiple Choice)
Plus
8
Ṁ3127resolved Nov 13
100%92%
Trump 3,500,000-3,599,999
0.6%
Trump Less than 3,000,000
0.6%
Trump 3,000,000-3,099,999
0.6%
Trump 3,100,000-3,199,999
0.6%
Trump 3,200,000-3,299,999
0.7%
Trump 3,300,000-3,399,999
1.7%
Trump 3,400,000-3,499,999
1.5%
Trump 3,600,000-3,699,999
0.9%
Trump 3,700,000-3,799,999
0.6%
Trump 3,800,000 or more
How many votes will Donald Trump receive in the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Arbitrage between identical questions in two formats:
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Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re-52hN9Usd8Z
Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r-C0yPs2dqZl
Multiple Choice Question Format
Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re
Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r
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