Conditional on NOT taking RaDVaC, will I get COVID in 2022?
Resolved
YES
Aug 18
M$62 bet
https://radvac.org/ has published a recipe for a DIY COVID-19 vaccine, which has been intermittently updated as new strains emerge. I'm trying to estimate whether it would be worth taking. If I DO NOT take RaDVaC by 1 August 2022, this will be resolved the same way as https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/will-i-get-covid-in-2022-67b0e9b79c1d . Otherwise, it will be resolved N/A. This is one of a pair of conditional markets: https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/conditional-on-taking-radvac-will-i

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