Conditional on taking RaDVaC, will I get COVID in 2022?
7
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Ṁ300
resolved Aug 18
Resolved
N/A
https://radvac.org/ has published a recipe for a DIY COVID-19 vaccine, which has been intermittently updated as new strains emerge. I'm trying to estimate whether it would be worth taking. If I take RaDVaC by 1 August 2022, this will be resolved the same way as https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/will-i-get-covid-in-2022-67b0e9b79c1d . Otherwise, it will be resolved N/A. Jun 21, 11:39pm: If I get COVID before I take any RaDVaC, I will resolve N/A. Jun 22, 12:50pm: Here's the other arm of this decision market: https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/conditional-on-not-taking-radvac-wi
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betting to follow - this is fascinating
No idea of the answer, but adding some liquidity here out of interest.

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