World Chess Championship Round 7 - Prop Bets
28
1.8kṀ20k
resolved Dec 3
Resolved
NO
Gukesh plays 1. e4
Resolved
NO
Someone does not castle before move 15
Resolved
YES
The sum of the numerical part of both first moves <= 9 e.g 1.g3 h5 = 8
Resolved
YES
Ding will be the first one to have 15+ minute think between the moves
Resolved
YES
Someone will sack material (he is down at least 1 point of material for 3+ moves)
Resolved
YES
Game will last 40+ moves
Resolved
YES
Someone achieves a passed pawn before move 30
Resolved
YES
Someone will have 40%+ win likelihood at any point after move 10 according to Leela (https://live.lczero.org/)
Resolved
NO
It will be a quick draw lasting 30 moves or less
Resolved
NO
Both players will have their queens off the board before move 25
Resolved
NO
Game ends in a draw by threefold repetition
Resolved
NO
Gukesh wins
Resolved
NO
Ding wins
Resolved
YES
One player will have less than 3 minutes on their clock before move 40
Resolved
NO
A player gets a >20% winning chance on lczero after move 60
Resolved
NO
Either player has a flawless game according to lichess postgame analysis
Resolved
NO
At some point there are only kings, rooks and pawns on the board
Resolved
NO
Someone spends 30+ minutes thinking for one move

Add any options you want. Ask for clarification if any options are unclear.

The game will be played on Tuesday, 3rd of December, 9 AM GMT.

https://www.chess.com/events/2024-fide-chess-world-championship/07/Gukesh_D-Ding_Liren

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): For any move-related criteria, the move count refers to the player to move's moves.

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