FIDE Chess Candidates Tournament - Round 8 Prop Bets
24
4.7kṀ33kresolved Apr 14
Resolved
NO3 or more draws
Resolved
NOWhite wins more games than black
Resolved
YESNepo ceases to be sole leader (after all games are done)
Resolved
YESOne of the players half point behind Nepo wins a game (Caruana, Gukesh, Pragg)
Resolved
YESAll games reach at least 30 moves
Resolved
YESHikaru wins against Caruana
Resolved
YESAbasov does not lose against Nepo
Resolved
NOPragg wins against Firouzja
Resolved
NOVidit wins against Gukesh
Resolved
YESIndian player wins
Resolved
YESAmerican player wins
Resolved
YESA game ends via three fold repetition.
Resolved
NOSomeone does not castle before move 20
Resolved
YESSomeone plays a blunder according to a Lichess post game analysis
Resolved
YESGukesh or Vidit blunder in time pressure (<15 min on the clock & they make mistake or blunder according to Lichess post game analysis)
Resolved
NOHikaru vs Caruana is first to finish
Resolved
NOPlayers on one board have played move 15 within the first hour of game time (combined)
Resolved
YESAn exchange sacrifice is played (rook is directly traded for knight or bishop)
Resolved
NO4 draws
Resolved
NO3 decisive games
You are welcome to add your own options.
Games start 13th of April at 2:30 PM EDT (in ~30 hours from market creation). Come live bet with us.
Games can be followed here (as well as standings): https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-candidates-2024--open/round-8/nUycmG6L#boards
Event info: https://www.chess.com/events/2024-fide-candidates-chess-tournament
One of the broadcasts is here: https://www.twitch.tv/chess24
General rules:
When referring to rankings, final rankings are used unless specified otherwise
For options that are hard to verify ("X is said on broadcast"), I will give time for people to post evidence for YES and if there is none, it will be resolved NO.
Options refer to Open section unless stated otherwise
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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