Will the second ascentionist of Seb Bouin's DNA agree with the 9c grade?
8
93
240
2030
59%
chance

Seb Bouin climbed DNA in May 2022 and proposed a grade of 9c, which would make it the second climb of the grade: https://www.blackdiamondequipment.com/en_US/stories/dna-seb-bouin/

His previous high grade was 9b/+, meaning this FA skipped over 9b+. However, he has almost completed Bibliographie, a hard 9b+, and spent a very long time on DNA, a project he says is "100% my climbing style".

Market resolves when a second person climbs DNA and publicly voices what they think the appropriate grade is - if they propose 9c, resolves yes, otherwise no.

Resolves N/A if:

  • The second ascentionist does not voice an opinion on the grade within 6 months of announcing their ascent

  • The rock on the climb breaks in a way that meaningfully changes the grade.

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predicts YES

Is anyone except Jakob Schubert trying it?

@habakuk Not that I'm aware of, although I think Ghisolfi said he was interested somewhere?

predicts YES

Breaks meaning beta break by a future climber or the physical climb loses rock?

@DanMan314 physical holds breaking. Beta breaks wouldn't affect the resolution.