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MANIFOLD
Macro & Travel: Will TSA screen 2.40 million or more passengers on Thanksgiving Day 2026?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ92
Nov 26
56%
chance
17

Standardized Resolution Summary

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) reports total national checkpoint traveler throughput of 2,400,000 or more passengers on Thursday, November 26, 2026.

This market resolves to NO if:

  • TSA reports total national checkpoint throughput of 2,399,999 or fewer passengers on Thursday, November 26, 2026.

Verification & Rules:

  • The market will be verified using the official TSA Checkpoint Travel Numbers reporting database published at tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes.

  • Resolution will rely on the initial official tally reported by TSA for the specific date of November 26, 2026. Subsequent routine revisions by TSA after the initial publication will not alter the market resolution unless correcting a public typographical error.

  • Event Details: Thursday, November 26, 2026 (12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local airport time across all participating US TSA security checkpoints).

Market description drafted with assistance from Google Gemini.

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