Will US residents be able to order Starbucks delivery using one of these major AI interfaces before 2026?
Basic
2
Ṁ50
2026
48%
chance

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

I will resolve based on the Metaculus resolution:

This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2026, it is possible for US residents to order Starbucks delivery via a generative AI released by one of the following companies: OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple.

Metaculus will generally rely on reporting from credible sources to resolve the question, though may test prospective systems to assess whether they have the required capabilities.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules