Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Michigan be greater than in 2020 (2.8%)?
Basic
5
Ṁ881resolved Nov 8
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Related markets:
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-4db56fb6e136
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-51af5a4e6350
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-19d0d7c91571
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-d54b8b02937c
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-b1850c0c8416
The party elected is not relevant to the resolution of this question.
Last election, CNN reported 50.6% - 47.8%: https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/state/michigan
I will use similar criteria for this market, and will not vote in it.
If CNN is reporting within 0.1% of this number, I will look at the actual voter numbers to determine which margin was greater.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00