Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Nevada be greater than in 2020? (2.4%)
3
9
160
Dec 2
34%
chance

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The party elected is not relevant to the resolution of this question.

Last election, CNN reported 50.1% - 47.7%:

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/state/nevada

I will use similar criteria for this market, and will not vote in it.

If CNN is reporting within 0.1% of this number, I will look at the actual voter numbers to determine which margin was greater.

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