Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?
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54%
chance
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From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if the median price for "Democratic" is higher than the median price for "Republican" on the Kalshi market Which party will win the 2028 Presidential Election?, for the dates December 25, 2025, to December 31, 2025, inclusive.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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