Which cities will receive National Guard troops ordered by Trump in 2025?
3
175Ṁ133
Dec 31
34%
St. Louis
34%
Detroit
33%
Portland
33%
Baltimore
28%
Chicago
28%
San Francisco
24%
Philadelphia

Resolution criteria

  • For each city answer, resolve YES if between Jan 1–Dec 31, 2025, National Guard troops operated within that city’s limits pursuant to an order initiated by President Donald J. Trump (e.g., executive order, presidential memorandum, or presidentially directed federalization/activation). Acceptable evidence: official White House/DoD/National Guard Bureau documents or on-the-ground confirmation by major outlets (AP, Reuters, etc.). Example sources to check include: White House presidential actions (e.g., EO 14333 for Washington, D.C.; Memphis memorandum), AP News, Stars and Stripes. (whitehouse.gov)

  • Resolve NO if no such deployment occurred in 2025, if only federal law-enforcement (not Guard) appeared, or if a deployment was announced but troops never entered the city. For Portland/Memphis/etc., confirmation requires reported physical presence in the city under the Trump-ordered mission. (apnews.com)

  • Resolve N/A for duplicates, non-U.S. cities, obvious misspellings that cannot be mapped to a specific city, or entries that are not cities.

  • Edge handling: staging outside city limits does not count; presence solely at federal facilities inside city limits does count. DC’s National Guard deployment to Washington, D.C., counts. Court blocks that prevent entry mean NO; partial/brief entries count as YES if credibly confirmed.

Background

  • Documented 2025 Trump-ordered Guard deployments include:

    • Los Angeles (June): >4,000 Guard plus 700 Marines surged; litigation followed over scope/legality. (stripes.com)

    • Washington, D.C. (Aug): EO 14333 declared a crime emergency and deployed DC National Guard with federalized control of MPD. (whitehouse.gov)

    • Portland, OR (late Sep): Order to federalize ~200 Guard to protect federal facilities; Oregon sued; contemporaneous AP/WaPo reports indicate deployment. (apnews.com)

    • Memphis, TN (mid-Sep): Presidential memorandum announced a “Memphis Safe Task Force” and National Guard support; verify actual troop arrival before resolving. (whitehouse.gov)

Considerations

  • Title 10 (federalized Guard) vs. Title 32 (state-controlled but federally directed/financed) both qualify if initiated by a Trump order; purely governor-initiated deployments without a presidential order do not. (whitehouse.gov)

  • Chicago and other cities have seen increased federal agents; that alone does not count without Guard troops on city streets under a Trump order. (apnews.com)

  • Ongoing litigation (e.g., California and Oregon cases) may limit missions but does not negate a YES if troops entered city limits under the Trump-ordered deployment. Use court/government releases and major outlets for verification at resolution time. (gov.ca.gov)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy