Jerusalem forest fire fatalities before May 27, 2025?
Jerusalem forest fire fatalities before May 27, 2025?
10
100Ṁ1388
resolved May 27
Resolved
NO

This market predicts whether a forest fire in the Jerusalem area will result in human fatalities before May 27, 2025. A fatality is defined as a death directly caused by the fire. Resolution will be based on official reports from Israeli authorities or credible news outlets.

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market specifically covers fatalities resulting directly from the event known as the 2025 Israel fires.

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolution is tied specifically to the event known as the 2025 Israel fires (referring to the event linked by the creator: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Israel_fires).

    • Fatalities resulting from new, separate forest fires that might start after the conclusion of the 2025 Israel fires event (even if occurring before May 27, 2025, and within the Jerusalem area) will not cause this market to resolve YES.

Israel
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Climate
Israeli Politics
Fires in Israel
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1mo

Can you specify the Jerusalem area?

1mo

@DanielFox9fff https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Israel_fires

The intent was to this event.

1mo

@VonGadke so if this fire is extinguished and another starts within the allotted time it wouldn't count?

1mo

@DanielFox9fff No, it wouldn't. Sorry for the unclear statement.

1mo

Related market: https://manifold.markets/UnspecifiedPerson/when-will-the-jerusalem-wildfires-b

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