In 2030 will VTOL aircraft be the obvious future of most personnel transportation
Basic
6
Ṁ1642030
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
More than self-driving cars or trains, will technology have progressed to the point that it seems more or less innevitable that the future of people getting around (at least in cities/metro areas) is the VTOL aircraft? Given my external view on how the tech is progressing (particularly quieter props and better batteries), this seems likely.
Resolution criteria: My personal judgment of what the broad consensus is
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will I See a "Jetson" or similar human piloted flying electric VTOL 'copter by the end of 2024?
26% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence pilot an aircraft with human passengers completely autonomously before 2030?
67% chance
Will AR/VR headset use be ubiquitous on commercial airlines by 2030?
61% chance
Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
33% chance
Will 0.1% of the US population have traveled in a flying car by 2050?
42% chance
By 2040, will it be possible to take an electric VTOL aircraft on a trip of at least 75 miles for less than $100
19% chance
Will there be electric passenger helicopters with >100 miles range before 2040?
37% chance
Will there be a fully autonomous commercial airline flight before 2030
15% chance
Commercial civilian autonomous flights by EOY 2040?
55% chance
Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030?
45% chance