How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved in 2026?
25
Ṁ1.4kṀ7.1kDec 31
1.7%
1
1.8%
2
4%
3
5%
4
7%
5
6%
6
5%
7
14%
8
10%
9
6%
10
4%
11
2%
12
2%
13
2%
14
1.9%
15
27%
Resolves to the number of problems displayed as solved at https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems .
Any new problems added to that page after market creation will not contribute to the total.
I will not trade in this market.
See also this market for EOY2027: https://manifold.markets/bh/how-many-frontiermath-open-problems-SzcLglOOOs?r=Ymg
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?
4% chance
How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027?
Number of FrontierMath Erdos Problems solved by AI before 2027?
19.1
What will the top score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath: Erdős (68 open Erdős problems) be on November 7, 2026?
Will Moltbook solve any open FrontierMath problems in 2026?
6% chance
'Breakthrough' Frontier Math Open Problem solved before 2028
91% chance
How many Erdős Problems will be solved by the end of 2026?
171
When will Epoch's Frontier Math be solved? (>90%)
What will be true of the SOTA AI on the FrontierMath benchmark, before 2027?
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
8% chance