Based on recent statements, President Trump has said he was "not joking" about seeking a third term and told NBC News that "there are methods" that would allow him to serve a third term. However, in May 2025, he told NBC News "I'll be a two-term president" and in August 2025 said "No. Probably not" when asked about running for a third term.

This market resolves YES if Trump makes any public statement (speech, interview, social media post, or official communication) explicitly stating his intention to serve or seek a third presidential term. This includes statements about constitutional amendments, succession schemes, or any other method to extend his presidency beyond January 2029.

Resolution source: Major news outlets (CNN, NBC, Fox News, AP, Reuters) and Trump's official social media accounts.