Will the OpenAI superalignment team believe that their goal has been achieved after 4 years?
54
1kṀ16kresolved Jun 17
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ695 | |
2 | Ṁ207 | |
3 | Ṁ197 | |
4 | Ṁ182 | |
5 | Ṁ100 |
People are also trading
Related questions
What will OpenAI do in 2025?
Will we solve AI alignment by 2026?
1% chance
Will OpenAI fold in 2025?
3% chance
Will OpenAI publicly state that they DON'T know how to safely align a superintelligence, after 2027?
23% chance
Will Meta AI start an AGI alignment team before 2026?
45% chance
Will a single model achieve superhuman performance on all OpenAI gym environments by 2025?
25% chance
Will OpenAI claim that it has achieved AGI in 2025?
5% chance
By the end of 2025, will OpenAI and Anthropic merge?
2% chance
Will OpenAI implement any of the reform recommendations from The OpenAI Files by end of 2025?
48% chance
Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2050, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?
52% chance