Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for an American politician by 2030?
Basic
5
Ṁ452030
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They can be a current or former politician, so long as the crimes they commited were done while in office.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu by the end of 2024?
89% chance
Who will the International Criminal Court (ICC) issue arrest warrants for in 2024?
Will the ICC indict Netanyahu for war crimes before January 1st 2025?
31% chance
Will the ICC prosecute a US citizen before 2035?
41% chance
Will a US president order the assassination of any of the following, and get away without criminal charges before 2029?
Will a notable US politician be indicted on child sex abuse or child trafficking charges in 2024?
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
57% chance
Will a sitting or former US President be killed by 2030?
26% chance
Will any US President be removed from office via impeachment and conviction before 2100?
42% chance
[Metaculus] Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?
89% chance