Will a major social media company experience an outage of 24 hours or more before 2025?
➕
Plus
21
Ṁ1389
Jan 1
28%
chance

I'll define "major" with the informal measures:

  • I've heard about it

  • My wife has heard about it

  • My students have heard about it

  • The outage sparks headlines

This will rule out major platforms that are not popular in America. I'll define social media as anything where you can post publicly. Snapchat counts, Whatsapp does not.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Do partial outages count, say a state or provider?

Has your wife heard of bluesky?

@Retr0id Yes, but my students likely have not sadly

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules