Will a major social media company experience an outage of 24 hours or more before 2025?
14
57
αΉ€315
2025
16%
chance

I'll define "major" with the informal measures:

  • I've heard about it

  • My wife has heard about it

  • My students have heard about it

  • The outage sparks headlines

This will rule out major platforms that are not popular in America. I'll define social media as anything where you can post publicly. Snapchat counts, Whatsapp does not.

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Has your wife heard of bluesky?

@Retr0id Yes, but my students likely have not sadly