Will a major social media company experience an outage of 24 hours or more before 2025?
Plus
21
Ṁ1389Jan 1
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'll define "major" with the informal measures:
I've heard about it
My wife has heard about it
My students have heard about it
The outage sparks headlines
This will rule out major platforms that are not popular in America. I'll define social media as anything where you can post publicly. Snapchat counts, Whatsapp does not.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
🧑💻Which Websites/Apps will have a significant unintended outage due to DDOS or other reason in 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will Facebook have over 10 minutes of outage due to DDOS or other malicious action before EOY 2024?
19% chance
Will AWS have a major outage in 2024?
42% chance
Will any major Cloudflare services suffer a major or partial outage in 2024?
38% chance
Will X (Twitter) Suffer a Major Outage in 2024?
15% chance
Will Twitter collapse by the end of 2030?
35% chance
Will a new social media platform launched after 1/1/23 surpass 500 million active users by 2026?
28% chance
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2028?
40% chance
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026?
34% chance
Will any social media platform surpass Facebook in terms of global active users by the end of 2025?
47% chance