Will I sleep with someone from a conference?
Basic
19
945
2029
58%
chance

This market resolves YES if, before the closing date, I will have sex with a person whom I met at a professional event (e.g. conference/unconference/workshop). The time difference between the conference and the sex doesn't matter. If this will not have happened before the closing date, the market resolves NO.

Context: I am poly. I often find men in conferences attractive. However, so far no such thing happened. See also (has additional relevant info about me):

I will not trade on this market.

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What is your profession? How often do you attend professional events? Do you only attend events in your home country or abroad as well? What prevented you from already doing so at past conferences?

@TheAllMemeingEye

  • My profession: AI alignment researcher (computer scientist)

  • How often I attend events: Around 2-3 times a year

  • Typically the events are not in my home country. Most often, they are in the US or in the UK.

  • What prevented me: Not sure? I am way too shy and insecure to proposition men directly. Occasionally I try some light subtle flirtation, which might or might not have been interpreted as intended. Also, AI alignment events tend to be dominated by rationalists/EAs which skew young compared to my own age.

@VanessaKosoy woah, that's super cool, switching my position to yes bets immediately lol

Some more specific thoughts:

  • As you say, AI alignment is full of EAs and Rationalists, who are notorious for their progressivism and promiscuity

  • Good high frequency of attendance

  • Location is in progressive nations

  • Like with your other market, social anxiety may be the biggest bottleneck, maybe try more indirect proposition like asking for contact details instead?