The Kamala Harris campaign is promoting a GOTV rally the week before election day featuring a surprise musical guest. Who will be the surprise musical guest?
If multiple musical guests perform, I will resolve based on consensus of the headline act.
https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/17/harris-campaign-promotes-rally-with-special-musical-guest/
1,000
3.00So this market is sort of confusing; the article linked in the description doesn't specify one particular concert, just a show "scheduled for the last week before Election Day." The Bloomberg article it links to doesn't state the concert it's referring to either, but links to this website: https://web.kamalaharris.com/forms/get-out-the-vote-concert-sweepstakes
That site (and its official rules) also just refer to "a get-out-the vote concert in the final week of the campaign."
It therefore seems like there isn't One Particular musical gig, but rather there will be several get-out-the-vote concerts. I would propose that any of these that take place in the week before the election (Oct 28-Nov 3) apply.
On Monday Oct 28, Bruce Springsteen and Eminem will both appear at a concert in Philadelphia:
https://www.stereogum.com/2284911/bruce-springsteen-eminem-will-appear-at-kamala-harris-rallies-in-swing-states/news/
@gramophone When creating the market, all references were to a single concert with one surprise guest so I tried to frame the market that way. In hindsight, I should've allowed for multiple options to resolve as yes. It looks like this may ultimately prove very difficult to resolve. I'm open to any and all suggestions.
@VandelayIndustries I think you should N/A tbh!
Alternately, to resolve as "yes" all artists who appear at Kamala rallies from Oct 28-Nov 5..
@VandelayIndustries maybe resolve to equal fractional percentages to all artists that appear, if multiple can't resolve yes?
https://variety.com/2024/music/news/taylor-swift-kamala-harris-snapchat-gotv-1236181746/
Perhaps this is evidence that it's Taylor?