Who will be Kamala Harris's surprise musical guest?
➕
Plus
54
Ṁ9571
Nov 8
3%
Charli XCX
1.7%
Taylor Swift
8%
Beyonce
3%
Bruce Springsteen
0.2%
Chappel Roan
0.2%
Kendrick Lamar
0.3%
Sabrina Carpenter
0.2%
Ariana Grande
14%
Katy Perry
54%
Lady Gaga
16%
Other

The Kamala Harris campaign is promoting a GOTV rally the week before election day featuring a surprise musical guest. Who will be the surprise musical guest?

If multiple musical guests perform, I will resolve based on consensus of the headline act.

https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/17/harris-campaign-promotes-rally-with-special-musical-guest/

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ500 Other YES

So this market is sort of confusing; the article linked in the description doesn't specify one particular concert, just a show "scheduled for the last week before Election Day." The Bloomberg article it links to doesn't state the concert it's referring to either, but links to this website: https://web.kamalaharris.com/forms/get-out-the-vote-concert-sweepstakes
That site (and its official rules) also just refer to "a get-out-the vote concert in the final week of the campaign."

It therefore seems like there isn't One Particular musical gig, but rather there will be several get-out-the-vote concerts. I would propose that any of these that take place in the week before the election (Oct 28-Nov 3) apply.

On Monday Oct 28, Bruce Springsteen and Eminem will both appear at a concert in Philadelphia:
https://www.stereogum.com/2284911/bruce-springsteen-eminem-will-appear-at-kamala-harris-rallies-in-swing-states/news/

@gramophone When creating the market, all references were to a single concert with one surprise guest so I tried to frame the market that way. In hindsight, I should've allowed for multiple options to resolve as yes. It looks like this may ultimately prove very difficult to resolve. I'm open to any and all suggestions.

@VandelayIndustries I think you should N/A tbh!

Alternately, to resolve as "yes" all artists who appear at Kamala rallies from Oct 28-Nov 5..

bought Ṁ3 Bruce Springsteen YES

@VandelayIndustries maybe resolve to equal fractional percentages to all artists that appear, if multiple can't resolve yes?

bought Ṁ59 Charli XCX YES
bought Ṁ50 Other YES

It doesn’t really make sense to me that they would hide the name of the performer if it was one as popular as these but I guess we’ll see

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules