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MANIFOLD
Will the number of unique bidders exceed 100?
18
Ṁ100Ṁ972
resolved Nov 5
Resolved
NO

A market about its own popularity. It resolves on whether it gets too crowded to read the comments.

  • Update 2025-10-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the count of unique traders, not on anything related to the comments section. The description about "too crowded to read the comments" is just a joke.

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@mods didnt we say to make this type of market unlisted

@121 Did you mean unranked? Because it is unranked.

@4fa Unlisted is at mod discretion, as I understand it currently. We tend to unlist these things if there are lots of them and it's getting spammy, otherwise we tend to ignore them.

Take this into account when trading and proceed at your own risk :)

@EvanDaniel Good to know, thanks!

Makes sense for each person who reads this to put a small limit order on "yes", maybe at a high percentage.

If anyone fills your order, your order is making it more likely for the yes to happen.

If 100 different people put "yes" limit orders, any random whale can force the yes, and pay all those limit order holders.

Ugh that kind of order isn't possible... there are so many weird markets like this where you want to be able to make a strange limit order like this. Would these be doable from stop-limit orders? Is that a thing that Manifold can implement?

opened a Ṁ10 YES at 10% order

Interesting to note that the more you bet "yes" now, while it's small; the more people will want to bet "no" against you, which makes your "yes" more likely.

Any whales want to make a quick buck?

@DannyqnOht thats an interesting way to look at it. i thought it could invite people simply to play the game itself. anybody can play so its self-serving for everybody around. lot of unique bidders but not a lot of faith

Excellent point, added a call-to-action at the top of the comments!

Is this based on the count of unique traders or on something else involving the comments?

@MaxE its based on the count of unique traders. the description is just a joke