Will any additional individuals be added to OpenAI's board of directors by 1 Jan 2024?
This question resolves to yes if any additional individuals (meaning new additions aside from Adam D'Angelo, Bret Taylor, and Lawrence Summers, including former members of the board) are on the board of directors of OpenAI the Monday morning 1 Jan 2024 (9am PST), or resolves to "no" if the same or fewer individuals are on the board, or if for whatever reason OpenAI has no board of directors or there are no members on the board. Named individuals who are non-voting observers count as "members" who are "on" the board for the purposes of this question.
OpenAI lists the members of its board of directors publicly at the bottom of its "Our structure" page on their website. This is the resource that will be used to determine the resolution, regardless of e.g. announced future additions in media or press releases.
(credit to cshunter's openAI board market, from which I stole the basic structure/language of this resolution criteria, and the idea itself. I'm testing a theory I have about prediction markets — see this comment for more details.)
1,000
3.00
@TylerJohnston Oh I must have jumped the gun. I've resolved over 200 inactive/deleted account markets in 24 hours. Sorry for the mistake. Should've @'d you first.
@SirCryptomind No worries haha. This one was pretty cut and dry so you did what I would have done!
The time was just chosen to match this market. Is it really that common to hire new board members on the new year exactly, as opposed to any other date?
@TylerJohnston It is entirely your prerogative, I was just expressing what was going through my mind while deciding my bet. Given that the New Year falls so neatly on a Monday, it feels marginally more likely that new board members may be announced before that and formally start their term at the time indicated in your description.
@Broseph Yeah, marginally more likely sounds right to me too. Was just thrown off by “easy no” vs. “anyone’s guess”