Each player in the top 4 resolves to 25%.

When looking at this market, mentally multiply all percentages by four. So if a player is sitting at 21%, that indicates they have an 84% chance of making top 4.

Sister market: /Tumbles/who-will-win-melee-singles-at-nouns-thOZcnOdc2

Resolves N/A if the tournament is cancelled.
If a player does not compete for any reason, they simply will not be top 4.

Tournament starts December 1st in Tokyo.

https://liquipedia.net/smash/Nounsvitational/2025

https://nouns.gg/c/nouns-gg/events/nounsvitational

(as of 2025/10/14)

Some related markets:

/Tumbles/which-melee-characters-will-be-used

/Tumbles/which-melee-players-will-win-a-majo-OLh06REhsU

/Tumbles/which-players-will-reach-top-8-at-a

You can see more markets like these and markets for other tournaments on the
🏆SSBM Tournament dashboard!🏆