How many more times will numeric markets be released on Manifold before they stick around?
14
1kṀ2026
resolved Sep 30
Resolved
1-2

Manifold has repeatedly released and then removed different implementations of numeric markets. How long do we expect this to keep going on before they settle on a definitive long-term implementation?

Count starts from market-creation, 2024-03-29, at 0. Market resolves when an implementation of numeric markets stays released for at least three consecutive months without being removed from availability-in-the-question-creation-interface. Count increases by 1 each time a numeric-markets-implementation is thusly removed. If the count ends up larger than 5, market will resolve to 5.

(If an implementation is removed only briefly and without-substantial-revision, e.g. disappearing a few hours for urgent bugfixing and then returning mostly-unchanged-aside-from-the-fixed-bug, this won't increase the count or reset the timer; only more substantive removals-and-rereleases will count.)

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