
Will Manifold support distribution markets beyond numerical ranges by the end of 2025?
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1kṀ1099Dec 31
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I've thought that something like this should exist for a while now.
https://www.paradigm.xyz/2024/12/distribution-markets
Not the same as numerical markets. At minimum, requires traders to be able to purchase on at least 3 parameters. Possible examples include skew normal distributions, or multiple distinct numerical ranges (eg. 0%-1% and 99%-100%)
Update 2024-11-12 (PST): The market requires that traders can create distributions in a single purchase, rather than by manually purchasing multiple ranges separately. (AI summary of creator comment)
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