According to a survey by Pew Research Center in March 2022, 23% of Republicans in the US say that global climate change is a major threat to the US.

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2022/06/06/americans-see-different-global-threats-facing-the-country-now-than-in-march-2020/

Resolves according to data from Pew Research Center.

Time ranges include their labeled year; for instance, "by 2026" means a survey using data from 2026 or before.

Multiple time periods can be chosen. For instance, if a survey with a positive result (that is, 30% or more of Republicans say global climate change is a major threat to the US) uses data from 2027, then both "by 2028" and "by 2030" will resolve YES.

If no data is available from Pew Research Center during a particular time period, and if a time period has not already resolved YES because of an earlier positive result, then (sadly) the market choice will resolve as N/A. For instance, if Pew does not release a survey using data from either 2027 or 2028, then the "by 2028" choice will resolve N/A.