In what year will a majority (50%+) of Republicans see climate change as a major threat?
2
290Ṁ252091
2039
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently just under a quarter of Republicans / lean Republican see climate change as a major threat. In which year will a majority see it as a threat (according to polling from a mainstream polling organisation).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
By what year will 30% of Republicans say global climate change is a major threat to the US?
In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?
72% chance
By end of 2030, will I perceive the threat from climate change as being worse than at market creation?
32% chance
Will Republican approval of the economy skyrocket to 80%+ in 2025?
28% chance
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
18% chance
By 2030, will 50% of voters identify as longtermists?
3% chance
Republicans have House majority after 2026 midterms?
19% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack motivated by climate change before 2030?
79% chance
Will a Republican congressperson be identified as a white nationalist by 2030?
70% chance
Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
90% chance