(AGI programmer automation) Will my market comp be <3x a median construction worker in April 2025.
Basic
6
Ṁ356
2025
3%
chance

This is about whether next-gen models will be so good I don't have value doing intellectual labor. I'm a skilled programmer working as an AI researcher, see https://thume.ca/

Resolves based on my wages vs BLS numbers regardless of why. Currently >5x and I don't work at my highest cash comp opportunity.

Counts only cash and bonus compensation. If my current job doesn't pay enough I'm allowed to resolve this by asking companies I've worked at before whether they'd hire me back and friends there what they think I'd earn (mainly imagining Jane Street), or getting an offer letter.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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