@Tripping resolves NO

@mods Resolves NO, thank you.

Would like to check in. Does this Resolve "No" considering he has dropped out still?

depends on the % of the vote he gets, not whether he drops out

@Tripping okay so 4% is just free money at this point lol

Related Market

don't forget to push down the 5% prediction here too!
https://manifold.markets/Tripping/how-much-of-the-popular-vote-will-r-8838a594cb5d

Interesting that people think he won't win even 5% of the vote, but that he will win over 10% in at least one state. I don't see why his margin would vary so widely between states, other than being smaller in swing states.

@PlasmaBallin i think most users on this site are not as hardcore as some poewrusers (scanning every single market and checking for arbitrage opportunities etc..)