Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
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Would like to check in. Does this Resolve "No" considering he has dropped out still?

depends on the % of the vote he gets, not whether he drops out

@Tripping okay so 4% is just free money at this point lol

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bought แน€50 YES

Interesting that people think he won't win even 5% of the vote, but that he will win over 10% in at least one state. I don't see why his margin would vary so widely between states, other than being smaller in swing states.

bought แน€50 YES

@PlasmaBallin i think most users on this site are not as hardcore as some poewrusers (scanning every single market and checking for arbitrage opportunities etc..)