If it can play games that the old Switch can't, then even if it's fully backwards compatible, I'll probably count it as a successor (as in the case of game boy advance to game boy colour, or wii to gamecube).
If the Switch can play all the games that the successor can, then I probably won't count it (e.g. 2DS, Switch OLED, Advance SP).
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@Tripping for the purposes of this question and your related questions can you define "release"? Announced? Prepurchasable? In consumer hands?
Nintendo has repeatedly made statements on calls to investors, etc, confirming that it doesn't plan to release a next-gen console within this fiscal year. So, either this market should literally be at 0%, or else Nintendo will end up getting sued for making false statements to shareholders: https://www.ign.com/articles/nintendo-switch-successor-not-happening-for-another-year-at-least
"Nintendo has put a stop to rumours about its new hardware, whether it's the long-rumoured Switch Pro or otherwise, by declaring that a Switch successor won't be released until April 2024 at the earliest.
As reported by Bloomberg, Nintendo president Shuntaro Furukawa explained during an investors presentation that it isn't considering new hardware in the 2023/24 financial year."
