Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?
5
1kṀ7242026
75%
chance
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If Marco Rubio leaves the Senate, there will be a special election in 2026 to decide who will fill the position for the remaining 2 years of that term.
If a GOP candidate wins this election, this market resolves yes.
If a non-GOP candidate wins, the election isn't held, or some other outcome occurs, this market resolves NO.
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