How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will Texas lose/gain after the next U.S. census?
5
360Ṁ7852031
5%
Lose more than 1
6%
Lose 1
6%
No Change
29%
Gain 1
20%
Gain 2
35%
Gain more than 2
The number of seats each state has in the United States House of Representatives is determined according to the most recent decennial census, as mandated by the US Constitution.
The next census is in 2030. This market will resolve to the outcome that corresponds to the amount of seats that the state has gained or lost following reapportionment based on the results of that census.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Texas enact new a congressional map during its second 2025 special session?
94% chance
How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will California lose/gain after the next U.S. census?
After 2030, how many electoral votes will Texas have?
42.15
How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?
How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?
If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?
84% chance
Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?
62% chance
Will Texas redraw any of its districts by the end of October?
87% chance
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
Will Texas redraw its congressional maps before November 2026?
89% chance