How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will Texas lose/gain after the next U.S. census?
6
360Ṁ8052031
5%
Lose more than 1
5%
Lose 1
5%
No Change
25%
Gain 1
16%
Gain 2
44%
Gain more than 2
The number of seats each state has in the United States House of Representatives is determined according to the most recent decennial census, as mandated by the US Constitution.
The next census is in 2030. This market will resolve to the outcome that corresponds to the amount of seats that the state has gained or lost following reapportionment based on the results of that census.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will California lose/gain after the next U.S. census?
How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?
After 2030, how many electoral votes will Texas have?
42.15
How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?
If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?
85% chance
Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?
89% chance
How many of the redrawn Texas districts will Democrats win, out of the attempted Democrat to GOP flips?
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms?
22% chance
Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?
61% chance