
How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will California lose/gain after the next U.S. census?
5
Ṁ420Ṁ1.1k2031
44%
Lose more than 2
19%
Lose 2
22%
Lose 1
8%
No Change
4%
Gain 1
2%
Gain more than 1
The number of seats each state has in the United States House of Representatives is determined according to the most recent decennial census, as mandated by the US Constitution.
The next census is in 2030. This market will resolve to the outcome that corresponds to the amount of seats that the state has gained or lost following reapportionment based on the results of that census.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the U.S. House Race in California's 40th District?
How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will Texas lose/gain after the next U.S. census?
Which California House Districts will Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms?
How many Democratic Representatives will CA elect in 2026?
How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?
Will CA redistrict, and what will be the result?
What Margin will democrats win the Californias 22nd District House election by?
Which Nevada U.S. House Seats will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?
57% chance
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?