How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
1
Ṁ1.3kṀ378Jan 3
50%
At least 242
46%
At least 246
60%
At least 238
38%
At least 250
70%
At least 234
24%
At least 254
77%
At least 230
17%
At least 258
85%
At least 226
87%
At least 222
89%
At least 218
92%
At least 214
94%
At least 210
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdhousewon/democratic-house-seats-won-media-calls/kxdhousewon-26nov03
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates is at least 242 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
How many house seats will Democrats win in Iowa?
Democrats win 53+ Senate seats and 240+ House seats in 2026 Midterms?
45% chance
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Colorado? (Polymarket)
Will Democrats win at least 54 senate seats in the midterms?
29% chance
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Number of Democratic Senate seats after 2026 Midterms?
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?
Will Democrats win at least 52 senate seats in the midterms?
64% chance
Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?
85% chance