Will the S&P 500 end the year more than 20% below its all-time high?
36
33
560
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES

The last trading day of 2022 is December 30. The S&P 500’s all-time intraday high is 4818.62.

Bet resolves as YES if the S&P 500 closes on December 30, 2022, below 3854.90. Resolves as NO if it closes at exactly 3854.90, or higher.

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predicted YES

Closed at 3839.5

Wow, on December 30, the S&P 500 is starting at 3849.28, this really could go either way still. What a coincidence!