Will California experience a >7.0 magnitude earthquake in 2023?
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No earthquakes >7 near California based on https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-89.98333,-73.125&extent=89.98333,433.125&range=search&timeZone=utc&map=false&search=%7B%22name%22:%22Search%20Results%22,%22params%22:%7B%22starttime%22:%222023-01-01%2000:00:00%22,%22endtime%22:%222023-12-31%2023:59:59%22,%22minmagnitude%22:7,%22orderby%22:%22time%22%7D%7D
Looks like base rate is around one per ten years. https://www.earthquakeauthority.com/California-Earthquake-Risk/California-Earthquake-History-Timeline
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