Will some version of the GRANITE act become US law before the end of 2026?
1
100Ṁ5Dec 31
48%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
context: https://prestonbyrne.com/2025/12/07/what-the-world-might-look-like-if-we-get-a-federal-granite-act/
Resolves YES if any federal US law is signed into effect before the deadline which allows US citizens to sue foreign jurisdictions in order to recover fines levied against American tech companies, whether for censorship or any other reason.
Resolves NO otherwise .
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
41% chance
Will Congress pass a bill by the end of Q1 2025 that mandates customer service operations to be located inside the USA?
19% chance
Will federal law ban individuals from mining or prospecting for gold in the US by April 2026?
4% chance
Will the SAVE Act be enacted before the 2026 US elections
8% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2026?
4% chance
Will the Responsible Innovation and Safe Expertise (RISE) Act of 2025 become law in the United States before 1 Jan 2027?
37% chance
Will Congress ban the sale of USA citizen genetic information to foreign companies or organizations by end of 2026?
48% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2028?
22% chance
What AI regulations will the US Congress pass into law before January 3, 2027? [ADD ANSWERS]
Will H.R.4486 - Microplastics Safety Act pass before EOY2026?
31% chance