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MANIFOLD
Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ93
Dec 31
21%
chance

This will resolve by the same criteria as Polymarket, judged independently by me: Which bills will become law in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 6875 (119th) — “AI OVERWATCH Act.”

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