Will Rojava still exist in 2030?
5
1kแน€940
2030
21%
chance

Rojava/YPG/SDF has been fighting the Syrian regime and Turkey for a while now. With HTS taking over the capital and Turkey apparently allying with them, it's possible that they may become the new primary target. My understanding is that the US is currently telling everyone to leave the Kurds alone, but that may change under Trump or Turkey might decide to just ignore that.

Will Rojava still meaningfully exist in five years? They must control at least one major city, such as Al-Hasakah, Raqqa, Deir ez-Zor, or Aleppo: YES.

If they are destroyed or lack any major cities with population over 250,000, resolves NO.

Cases of ambiguity such as if they merge with a newly independent Iraqi Kurdistan or are folded into greater Syria will be determined by rough consensus, but may N/A if controversial.

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bought แน€20 NO

I hope for yes, but bet on no, they have too many enemies, no friends, and no water ๐Ÿ˜”

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