Will violent crime go up in Washington DC in 2024?
8
187
170
2025
28%
chance

I will be using the published numbers from this site to rule on this market.

https://mpdc.dc.gov/page/district-crime-data-glance

If the number of violent crimes listed in 2024 is higher than the final number in 2023, this resolves as yes. (In the unlikely event that it is exactly the same, I will resolve this as no.) As the criteria for judging this market is fairly objective, I may bet.

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