How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's impoundment actions if case is heard by August 1st 2025?
4
1kṀ71
Aug 2
23%
Fully upholds administration's authority
32%
Partially upholds with limitations
22%
Strikes down as unconstitutional/illegal
24%
Dismisses on procedural grounds

If the Supreme Court hears a case challenging the Trump administration's federal funding freeze under the Impoundment Control Act, how will they rule?

From perplexity:

Several key developments suggest the issue is rapidly moving towards Supreme Court consideration:

  1. The Trump administration issued an OMB memo on January 27, 2025, freezing federal grants and loans 1 5.

  2. Multiple lawsuits challenging the administration's actions are expected to be filed, citing violations of the Impoundment Control Act of 1974 5.

  3. Legal experts, including Steve Vladeck from Georgetown University Law Center, predict that if the administration doesn't rescind the memo, an impoundment case could reach the Supreme Court within weeks 5.

  4. The Department of Justice is expected to argue that the Impoundment Control Act is unconstitutional, setting up a potential constitutional showdown 5.

While the case has not yet reached the Supreme Court, the rapid escalation of the issue and its constitutional implications suggest it may do so in the near future, potentially becoming a landmark case in the ongoing debate over executive power and congressional spending authority 1 5.

Resolution Criteria:

  • Resolves N/A if no Supreme Court ruling is issued by August 1st, 2025

  • Otherwise resolves based on the majority opinion's primary holding regarding the constitutionality/legality of the administration's actions

Sources:

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The memo has since been rescinded. So it's less likely that it will reach the supreme court. And seems like the red team is going for a different approach: https://bsky.app/profile/stevevladeck.bsky.social/post/3lhzmjtgx5k23

I used the manifold ai feature for this question, and perplexity to find the context with sources. Pretty neat!

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