Supreme Court rules against Trump administration in at least 3 major cases by September 1, 2025
14
100Ṁ1618
resolved Sep 2
Resolved
NO

This market resolves YES if the Supreme Court issues rulings against the Trump administration's position in at least 3 separate major cases by September 1, 2025. A "major case" is defined as one that receives coverage in at least three major national news outlets (NYT, WaPo, WSJ, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NPR) and involves a significant policy, executive order, or constitutional question. It resolves NO if fewer than 3 such rulings occur by the resolution date.

Sources:

Politics
US Politics
Trump
Republican Party
Trump's Second Term
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ111
2Ṁ53
3Ṁ18
4Ṁ11
5Ṁ10

People are also trading

New York Times settles Trump's $15B lawsuit before December 15, 2025?
25% chance
Will the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?
72% chance
If Trump is president, will the Supreme Court be 7-2 conservative before 2033 Inauguration
44% chance
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?
Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?
61% chance
Will the U.S. supreme court be expanded before these dates?
Will the Trump administration go after a SCOTUS justice in 2025?
17% chance
Will the Supreme Court decide 75 or more cases in 2025?
10% chance
Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?
5% chance
Will Donald Trump's presidency be extended beyond noon Jan 20 2029 with Supreme Court approval?
4% chance
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 NO

Summer break has started, and I don't think Trump lost any cases that were as newsworthy as Garcia's case.

@ZaneMiller I agree — if things hold steady like this between now and 9/1/25 this will be a no

Does Abrego Garcia ruling count as a ruling against Trump administration?

@ProjectVictory Yes, I would say so. So that counts as 1 of the 3.

People are also trading

New York Times settles Trump's $15B lawsuit before December 15, 2025?
25% chance
Will the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?
72% chance
If Trump is president, will the Supreme Court be 7-2 conservative before 2033 Inauguration
44% chance
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?
Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?
61% chance
Will the U.S. supreme court be expanded before these dates?
Will the Trump administration go after a SCOTUS justice in 2025?
17% chance
Will the Supreme Court decide 75 or more cases in 2025?
10% chance
Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?
5% chance
Will Donald Trump's presidency be extended beyond noon Jan 20 2029 with Supreme Court approval?
4% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy