Will there be a civil war in Europe by the end of 2024 | Manifold

Will there be a civil war in Europe by the end of 2024

Plus

28

Ṁ2274

Dec 31

11%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This prediction will be paid out if there is a major consensus from multiple countries that a civil war is occuring

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

@ArmandodiMatteo (I don't have the liquidity to arbitrage this away and I'm too tired to liquidate any other position atm)

Must this be one nation fighting itself (US Civil War, Vietnam war…etc.) to qualify?

"Europe" by the geographical definition (to the watershed of the Urals, the Ural river, the Caspian Sea, the watershed of the Greater Caucasus, and the Black Sea)?

Related questions

Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024

-12% 1d28% chance

Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?

Will a European or EU army be created before 2040?

Will we see any major wars before the end of 2024? 🤔

Will The US be at at war with another country by the end of 2024?

WIll there be a civil war in the UK before 2025?

Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026

-5% 1d44% chance

Will a new major war break out in 2024?

Will Russia have a civil war by the end of 2024?

Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?

Related questions

Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024

WIll there be a civil war in the UK before 2025?

Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?

Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026

Will a European or EU army be created before 2040?

Will a new major war break out in 2024?

Will we see any major wars before the end of 2024? 🤔

Will Russia have a civil war by the end of 2024?

Will The US be at at war with another country by the end of 2024?

Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules