What will be true of Elon's promised "most epic demo ever" from Tesla?
57
1.3kṀ4156
2026
80%
It's a new Tesla Roadster
56%
It's a collaboration with SpaceX
32%
It's related to Optimus
31%
It's a flying car (see comments)
29%
It's a boat car or submersible car (can travel in or on water)
24%
Manifold considers it "epic" (according to poll)
20%
It's related to Robotaxi
10%
A demo actually happens by the end of 2025

Add your own answers on what you think this means!

  • Update 2025-11-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the "flying car" answer: A car that uses hydraulic suspension to briefly lift/hop off the ground (like the BYD Yangwang U9 example) would count as a flying car for this market's resolution purposes.

  • Update 2025-11-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market close date will be extended as long as the creator thinks is reasonable, given that Elon's timelines are often delayed beyond his original promises.

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@traders Elon originally promised this demo by the end of the year, but as we all know, his timelines are often overly optimistic. I'll keep extending the close date for this as long as I think is reasonable.

It may arrive April 1st: https://www.autoevolution.com/news/musk-trolls-tesla-roadster-reservation-holders-with-a-second-unveiling-on-april-fools-day-260611.html

@GraemeStuart what's the definition of "flying" for this market? I think a truly "flying" car is extremely unlikely, but a car that could briefly hover or hop is plausible -- how would this resolve for that scenario?

@DanHomerick if it leaves the ground it counts

opened a Ṁ250 YES at 42% order

@GraemeStuart and if the wheels leave the ground, but a ground-effect skirt remains in contact with the road? That is, utilizing same principle as a hovercraft?

Edit: the "flying" bit may just be a useless gimmick, but if they already have a very strong fan for generating downforce / low pressure, then reversing it for a hovercraft effect may not take much more hardware.

@DanHomerick there must be no contact with the ground.

@GraemeStuart So something like this would count? That's a long way from what I would call a flying car: https://f1rstmotors.com/news/watch-byd-s-yangwang-u9-jump-over-potholes-and-road-spikes

Some people expect a "SpaceX package" for the next Tesla Roadster that would allow it to hover for short distances: https://www.independent.co.uk/cars/electric-vehicles/tesla-roadster-price-release-date-b2672120.html

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