Will there be a major attack on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2030?
Plus
12
Ṁ11012029
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) will have a large effect on the water politics in the region.
This question will resolve yes in the case of a successful attack that causes at least $1,000,000 USD worth of damages, or in the case of a thwarted/repelled imminent attack that intended to and reasonably could have caused this amount of damage.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Egypt go to war with Ethiopia by 2030?
26% chance
Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2024?
35% chance
Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2030? [ADD ANSWERS]
What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030?
Will there be an airstrike on a datacenter before 2035?
30% chance
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?
67% chance
Will the Netherlands suffer a catastrophic flooding event before 31st December 2030?
48% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack motivated by climate change before 2030?
79% chance
Will the Democratic Republic of the Congo break ground on the Grand Inga Dam project by the end of 2027?
41% chance
Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
33% chance