Yarlung Tsangpo dam by 2035? | Manifold

Yarlung Tsangpo dam by 2035?

3

100Ṁ35

2035

47%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves YES if before Jan 1 2035, scientific measurements, hydrological data, or official reports from credible sources (Indian government agencies, international organizations, or peer-reviewed research) document a statistically significant reduction in water flow of the Brahmaputra River in India that can be directly attributed to China's dam activities on the Yarlung Tsangpo. The reduction must be beyond normal seasonal variations.

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bought Ṁ10 NO

https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-china-complete-a-massive-hydro

bought Ṁ10 YES

Does it matter at all for resolution of this market if the dam is completed or not by the closing date?

@AlexanderTheGreater No, an incomplete dam that nevertheless causes reduction will count

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Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

Will China complete a massive hydropower development on the Great Bend of the Yarlung Tsangpo River by 2050?

Will there be a major attack on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2030?

Will a tunnel across the Bohai Strait between Shandong and Liaoning in China have started construction by 2035?

Will there be drake passage hydropower by 2050?

Will China collapse before 2030

Will a tunnel between China and Taiwan have started construction by 2040?

Will the Democratic Republic of the Congo break ground on the Grand Inga Dam project by the end of 2027?

Will the Hetchy Hetchy aqueducts be significantly sabotaged by Dec. 2030?

Will Indonesia's government announce intentions to build a hydoelectric damn on the Mamberamo River by the end of 2027?

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