Follow up from last years edition (https://manifold.markets/TheWabiSabi/what-will-happen-to-me-in-2024-add)
I will be 100% honest on all questions asked below to help you make the right bet.
Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Criteria Clarification:
The outcome must involve having sex with a Tinder match.
The encounter occurs in a new city, indicating a partner that is not an ex.
Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cumulative Requirement:
The outcome must include having sex with three different people,
This must occur on three separate occasions throughout 2025.
Update 2025-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'Deciding to get an abortion':
This outcome requires the creator's partner to be pregnant and the decision to get an abortion to be mutual between the creator and their partner.
Update 2025-05-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding newly added options:
To resolve YES, the event described by the option must occur:
In 2025.
After the specific option was added to the market.
Update 2025-05-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding outcomes involving 'reading a book':
Audiobooks do not count as 'reading'.
Update 2025-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'Use a contraceptive (condom, pill, etc)':
A partner-based method of contraception, specifically an IUD, is a relevant event for this outcome's resolution.
Update 2025-07-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'Use a contraceptive (condom, pill, etc)':
The creator has confirmed this answer will be resolved to YES.
The resolution is based on the creator's partner getting an IUD, confirming partner-based methods are sufficient.
Update 2025-08-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Viral social media post criteria:
Manifold counts as social media.
If on Manifold, it should be widely known/"really viral" within the Manifold community.
For other platforms, a threshold of 50k+ views indicates "viral."
Update 2025-09-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the answer 'Losing another family member': A girlfriend's relative (e.g., her grandfather) does not count; this would only count if legally married (i.e., an in-law).
Update 2025-10-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding an answer about getting a vaccine: The creator received a vaccine but clarified it does not count toward resolving that answer.
Update 2025-12-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'Getting a new car': The creator picked up a car but sold it back to the seller after 8 days at a loss. This does not resolve the answer to YES.
1,000π Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ1,548 | |
| 2 | αΉ297 | |
| 3 | αΉ115 | |
| 4 | αΉ84 | |
| 5 | αΉ81 |
People are also trading
@TheWabiSabi Last time in the scale. Think being sick for last couple of days saved the day
@TheWabiSabi just agreed to being part of a 1/4 Triatlon team for April '26. Should we resolve this yes @traders
@TheWabiSabi living with my parents after the breakup now also registrated with the new manucipal this week. So think I should resolve this yes...
@TheWabiSabi plottwist @traders sold it after 8 days back to the seller at a loss. It was a train wreck.
@TheWabiSabi I, uh, hear that 120-130mg is a great dose, followed by a 60-70mg booster taken at about T+2.5-3hrs. (It can be nice to have the option of the booster pre-weighed out and available as an option.)
Thereβs a lot of information available about supplements and aftercare.
If you want to keep it simple, magnesium glycinate is great for during and after the experience, and 5-HTP & melatonin can be nice after the experience.
Important: Only take 5-HTP *after* the experience. Taking it before dosing risks serotonin syndrome; I know two ppl who got serotonin syndrome by making this mistake.
@GorbaganaChain Netherlands, got the pills tested by GGZ (national mental health institute, which offers this for free)
120mg is about the dose used in the US clinical trials.
Itβs possible to get the general effects of a stimulant without the unique properties of MDMA if you take too little.
Iβd suggest at least 90-110 mg. (Plus the option of a +50% booster.)